Navigating Risk and Uncertainty

Uncovering undervalued investment opportunities, and thinking through risk, uncertainty and the pursuit of truth.

February Commendations: Placed Sixth on SumZero

I have once again been recognised in the SumZero, Inc. rankings, placing sixth place within a global community of over 16,000 pre-screened buy-side professionals and achieving excellent overall and category standings.  These results reflect my...

January Commendations: Placed Fifth Among Analysts on SumZero

I have once again been recognised in the SumZero, Inc. rankings, placing fifth within a global community of over 16,000 pre-screened buy-side professionals and achieving excellent overall and category standings.  For January, my overall standings are...

Regimes of Uncertainty

Despite widespread claims of speculative excess, gold prices are supported by a durable macro regime characterised by geopolitical fragmentation, fiscal constraint, and elevated tail risk. In such an environment, historically high gold prices are not...

December Commendations: Placed Seventh Among Analysts on SumZero

I have once again been recognised in the SumZero, Inc. rankings, maintaining my seventh place within a global community of over 16,000 pre-screened buy-side professionals and achieving excellent overall and category standings. For December, my...

Greatland Resources: A Metamorphosis into a Leading Australian Gold Producer

Closed position on 27 October, 2025, with a -8.1% return, and then re-opened the position on 17 December, 2025. Australian gold and copper producer, Greatland Resources Limited (ASX:GGP: A$8.30 per share) joins Apex Mining Co., Inc. (PSE:APX), and...

Golden Discipline: Investing in the New Era of Profitable Mining

Closed position on 27 October, 2025, with a -8.2% return. As I noted in my thesis on Apex Mining Co., Inc. (PSE:APX), Gold mining has historically been a poor way to capture gold’s value, with overinvestment, low-quality assets, and poor capital...
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